ITRN 601, Research and Analysis for International Commerce and Policy,

Fall 2001, Wednesdays, August 29 – December 12, 7:05-9:35 pm, Room 242

 

Dr. Daniel Gaske, Instructor, 703-613-6953, dgaske @ earthlink.net

 

            Welcome!  I hope this course will provide research and analysis methods and techniques that will be valuable during your course of studies here at ICP and in your careers.

 

Course Requirements

 

            Students will be required to complete the following graded activities:

 

n      two homework exercises that will apply principles and concepts discussed in previous classes; these exercises are to be completed individually, but may be worked on in groups.

 

n      a final project that will require integration of all principles discussed into creating of a presentation of key quantitative trends in country, sector, or industry of your choice; final project may be prepared and presented individually or by two students.

 

            The final project specifically is to consist of student(s) choosing an economy, industry/sector, issue, or company of interest to him/her/them and preparing a 15-minute PowerPoint or similar verbal/visual presentation laying out in tables and graphs key quantitative trends in topic selected.  While some text slides -- title, explanations, implications, and bibliography – are appropriate, for most part slides should be presentation of relevant quantitative data in graphs and tables.   The presentation should fully incorporate the key principles of research, analysis, sources, quantitative methods, and presentation discussed in the course.  A handout based on the presentation should be prepared for each class member.

 

            As an alternative to the actual presentation, you may prepare a PowerPoint file accompanied by “speaker notes” on each slide as if you were preparing for a superior or client to use in his/her own presentation on the topic.  This alternative will require the same PowerPoint file that you would present, but also detailed speaker notes on each slide.  You may propose your topic, format (presentation or file / speaker notes), and desired date, if presentation option is chosen, at any time, but no later than November 7. 

 

Grading

 

            The course grade will be developed as follows.

 

n      Each homework exercise and the final presentation will be given a grade of A, A-, B+, B, …..,  based on how close to “perfection” the exercise/presentation comes.  Occurrences of inaccuracies, ineffective supporting data or argumentation, lack of clarity, omitted elements, etc., will increasingly lower the grade. More precisely, approximately each 1-2 “shortfalls” in the above areas, as determined by the instructor, will lower the grade to the next level.  Late turn-in of an assignment may be assessed shortfalls. 

 

n      The letter grade assigned for each exercise and for the final presentation will be assigned the numerical equivalent from the GMU grade scale.  These three numerical grades will be averaged into a course numerical grade which will then be assigned the equivalent letter grade it is closest to in the GMU grade scale.  In the event this grade falls exactly half way between two grades, the lower grade will be assigned.

 

 

Course Materials

 

            The following printed resources, available in the Bookstore, are to be used in the course:

 

n      Guide to Economic Indicators: Making Sense of Economics,

n      Numbers Guide: The Essentials of Business Numeracy,

n      Understanding the Calculations of Key Economics and Business Statistics.

 

Materials for the course also are to be provided through the LAN in the classroom, the web, and regular handouts.  Use of materials is detailed below.

 

Course Schedule

 

Date       Topics and Assignments

 

Aug 29  Overview of Research and Analysis

              Preparation: Process of Research and Analysis;    

              http://mason.gmu.edu/~mvanscha/wallace.html

 

Sep 5     Critically Evaluating Works of Others

  Preparation: Assigned essays by Bhagwati and Altman; website to be announced

 

Sep 12   Commonly Used Statistical Formats and Interpretation

              Preparation: Guide to Economic Indicators, Numbers Guide, LAN file gm601lec.ppt

 

Sep 19   Sources of International Economic and Business Data (Dr. Van Schaik)

              Preparation: Explore GMU and external print and electronic data resources

              FIRST HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENT; DUE JUN 5

 

Sep 26   Indicators of Current Domestic Economic and Financial Performance

              Preparation: Economic Indicators 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,12,13      

                       

Oct 3     Indicators of Current International Financial Performance

              Preparation: Economic Indicators 10,11

              Homework 1; due Oct 17

 

Oct 10   No Class

 

Oct 17   Indicators of Economic Structure and International Trade Trends

              Preparation: World Development Report 2000/2001, Statistical Annex

 

Oct 24   Indicators of Sectoral and Company Trends

              Preparation: Economics Indicators, 9

 

Oct 31   Review/Overview of Excel and PowerPoint

             

 

 

 

Nov 7    Statistical Methods 1 – Calculating Ratios, Shares, Deflators, and Changes

  Preparation: Numbers Guide 1,4; Economic Indicators 2; Understanding the

  Calculation of 1-2,4-5; gm601lec.ppt on shared drive

  Selection of Final Project Topic Due

  

Nov 14   Statistical Methods 2 – Calculations in Foreign Currencies and Exchange Rates;

               Presenting Statistical Results in Table and Charts

   Preparation: Numbers Guide 1,4; Economic Indicators 2; Understanding the

   Calculation of 1-2,4-5; gm601lec.ppt

   Homework 2; due Nov 28

 

Nov 21    No Class

 

Nov 28    Statistical Methods 3 – Descriptive Statistics; Regression and Time Series Analysis

                Preparation: Numbers Guide 1,4; Economic Indicators 2; Understanding the

    Calculation of 3,6; gm601lec.ppt

 

Dec 5       FINAL PROJECT PRESENTATIONS – maximum of 8

 

Dec 12     FINAL PROJECT PRESENTATIONS – maximum of 8