September 2001
The Mason Gazette
   

Politics Play Major Role in Traffic Woes, Say Mason Experts

By Elena Barbre, Robin Herron, and Carrie Secondo

With rush hour in the Washington, D.C., area lasting up to six hours a day, traffic affects each of us. A quick trip to the grocery store is no longer quick and Sunday drives are less fun in congestion, so what do we as residents of the region have to look forward to? George Mason professors Michael Bronzini and Roger Stough not only deal with traffic daily, but they also study traffic congestion for a living. Bronzini, the Sidney O. Dewberry Chair in the Department of Civil, Environmental, and Infrastructure Engineering, has spent the past 30 years studying urban transportation, traffic congestion, transportation planning, and public transportation systems. Stough, the NOVA Professor of Public Policy in the School of Public Policy, is an expert on transportation policy, logistics, and technology. Here is what they have to say about the current state and the future of transportation in the region.

What's Causing Our Traffic Woes?
Surveys of traffic congestion by the Washington Council of Governments show congestion increasing at alarming rates and both Stough and Bronzini say local politics play a huge role in our traffic woes.

"The region's politics are making it difficult to curb congestion. This region is as dysfunctional as it ever was," Stough says. Stough cites U.S. Rep. Frank Wolf's decision to back away from a study of a proposed limited-access, no-stops bridge across the Potomac River linking the Dulles corridor and Rockville, Md., as symptomatic of the region's problems. Wolf backed away from the bridge study because of a "not in my backyard" reaction from his constituents, says Stough. Bronzini adds that while traffic congestion in the metropolitan area will continue to increase, because of political issues, land-use planning, and other constrictions, the basic roadway network is in place and new roads will not be built.

Stough notes that regions that have success in coping with transportation problems have regionwide organizations, such as a regional transportation authority, to raise money and support the process. "Here, these issues are bound up in the political process," he says.

While the area has no regional organization to make transportation-related decisions, there are groups trying to make headway. The Northern Virginia Roundtable, an organization of local chief executives that works to resolve issues that affect the quality of life in Northern Virginia, has made transportation one of its top priorities, and the nonprofit group, endgridlock.org, provides citizens with the tools and information necessary to support new roadways and transit that will link the region, reduce congestion, and improve quality of life.

"Unless there's a change in the effectiveness of our leadership, things are going to get worse and stay worse for this region," says Stough. "Even if our leadership improves, we will need to learn to prioritize projects and we will need more resources."

Another factor contributing to the region's dilemma is Virginia's recent car tax cut, which makes it less expensive to drive a car and worsens the area's congestion problems, says Stough.

Are Solutions on the Horizon?
Amid all the bleak forecasts, Bronzini and Stough do offer area commuters some glimmers of hope. "We can use new technology to try to get more movement out of traffic, for example, providing good information to drivers in a more timely fashion so they can take means to avoid congestion," Bronzini says. He notes that traffic light operation could use some improvement. Some lights are pretimed, and some respond to changes in traffic. Money is needed, however, to more frequently observe traffic to adjust the lights' timing, he says.

In a recent study prepared for the Federal Highway Administration and the Virginia Department of Transportation, School of Public Policy professors Laurie Schintler and Mahmud Farooque, found that intelligent transportation systems such as traveler information services, variable message signs, and surveillance cameras are key to reducing peak period traffic congestion in the I-66 corridor. They say further study and deployment of these types of technologies could have even more of an effect on traffic in the region.

As far as mass transit goes, Bronzini says, "There is good consensus in the region about the need to extend Metro to Tysons and Dulles and out I-66 to Centreville. There's been a recent movement in Fairfax to allow new development at Metro sites so people can park and ride. But it is a long process, probably about 10 years until a Metro line can be extended to Dulles--and it depends on federal funding."

Bronzini also points out that Metro has begun using message boards on platforms to inform passengers when the next car will arrive, and the same system is being phased in at bus stops. "When you're standing at a bus stop, you don't know whether a bus has just left or is about to arrive," he says. "Eliminating that uncertainty might cause more people to take the bus."

Is an End to Gridlock in Sight?
No, says Bronzini. "The best thing you can do is keep up," he says, but that's a tough job in itself, especially when by 2025 a million more people will be in the region, increasing traffic by 46 percent. "We're spending $3 billion a year on transportation--that's on highways and mass transit--but we need to be spending about $5 billion a year. That's 80 percent on operations and maintenance and 20 percent on adding new capacity."

Bronzini says studies have shown that of the 65 most congested cities, those that have maintained or increased their spending on transportation have maintained the level of congestion or had it slightly decrease, while those that haven't maintained or increased their spending have seen congestion worsen.

A comprehensive look at how other cities deal with transportation should be considered before any plans are made, Stough says. "London, Paris, New York City, and Chicago are all examples of large metropolitan areas whose transportation infrastructure is tremendous compared with here," says Stough. "What we need is a study to determine how we could become comparable and how much it would cost."

But Stough notes that the Washington, D.C., region is more spread out than most of these areas. "Where the Metro goes is quite limited--it misses major corridors such as Dulles and Tysons. Our region's demand is more cross-transit than hub and spoke, and we have no transit network." Stough says the Virginia Railway Express will expand to meet this need, and light rail is another possibility for a network model although people often don't like it because riders have to switch lines rather than stay on one train for the long haul. This solution, however, would cost less than others.

What Can Mason Do to Help?
"Mason creates some problems for the community and for itself, for example, having evening classes start at the height of the evening rush hour," says Bronzini. "We haven't really tried to look at class schedules to see what could be done there."

Employees can take advantage of state benefits for commuters. Commonwealth Commuter Choice allows residents in Stafford, Prince William, Loudoun, and Northern Virginia to get a state-paid, tax-free benefit for commuting by public transit or vanpool. This fall, University Services begins offering a free shuttle between the Fairfax and Prince William Campus for students and faculty who are on the way to class.

In the meantime, telework is rising to the occasion, making it possible for some George Mason employees to substitute communication for actual travel time. Look for a feature on teleworking and its affect on the region and university in the October Mason Gazette.